
Although insurance premiums will likely increase as a result of this bill, TAG will always continue to shop your plans and provide creative solutions to keep your costs down. Over the last year, TAG has introduced HSA and customized products that have lowered health renewals by 22% compared to the rest of the market. HSA plans are not dramatically impacted by the new legislation.
At this point, there are too many variables to reasonably predict the future. Having said that, below are my thoughts and answers to a few questions many are asking:
Can anything stop this bill?
Absolutely, there are many firewalls before the bill can be enforced.
How can I learn more?
Full Text of Bill http://thehill.com/images/stories/whitepapers/pdf/senatebill.pdf
Summary of Health Care Bill (HR 3590) & Proposed Reconciliation changes (HR 4872) and original House bill (HR 3962). Note that only HR 3590 is positioned to become a law at this point. http://www.kff.org/healthreform/upload/housesenatebill_final.pdf
What can I do?
Unfortunately, we have already learned that the Democrats have chosen to ignore the national polls and unprecedented outreach by the American population. The most practical steps we can take at this point would be to support a regime change in November. This means donating to candidates and encouraging voter turnout in several key states. Many strategies are discussed in http://blog.heritage.org/2010/03/22/morning-bell-repeal/.
What taxes will be increased?
What are the consequences if the bill becomes the law of the land?
If the bill is enforced, insurance premiums will likely increase. Carriers will be required to offer coverage to all individuals, without price adjustment, despite any pre-existing health issues. At first glance, this concept may sound charitable; however, consumers are left with no incentive to purchase insurance until after they get sick. The “mandatory” insurance provisions of the bill result in minor fines that are far less than the cost of insurance. This situation has been likened to buying fire insurance after your house burns down.
As a result, insurance companies will have no choice but to charge their other policy holders the cost of insuring the disproportionately sick individuals. This is a self-defeating cycle that many believe is designed to ultimately guarantee a full government takeover of the health insurance system.
The bright spot is the law of unintended consequences. Even if the law is not struck down or repealed, the private market has often shown ingenuity in overcoming government intrusion. Many doctors and pharmacies are already dropping out of the Medicare system. Many doctors will likely not subscribe to the newest government program either. The proliferation of HSAs (Health Savings Accounts) and other alternative insurance financing programs allow many Americans to effectively opt out of the government system.
This individual opt-out will allow medical providers and medical consumers to transact 90% of medical care without the involvement of any insurance or government entity. Should this happen, medical costs will finally benefit from the market forces that have reduced the pricing of everything from a loaf of bread to a high-def TV. The rise of medical costs is not inevitable. One area that has already experienced limited government and insurance carrier involvement is the Lasik Eye industry. Despite major developments of new technology, Lasik procedures have gone down in the last 15 year from $5000 to $1500. Reintroducing free-market principals back into our healthcare system could have similar effect.